The things worth being suspicious about, answered straight.
No. Every pick ever published is on the track record, winners and losers, with the odds taken and the final score. Results are settled by software from the final score — nobody types them in, and nothing is edited afterwards.
Picks are also posted to a public Telegram channel before kick-off, which timestamps them. You do not have to take our word for when they went up.
It is the wrong number to judge this on. At average odds of @3.29, a pick needs to land about 30.4% of the time just to break even. Our win rate is 35.3%.
Someone backing favourites at 1.40 needs to be right 71% of the time. Comparing the two percentages without the prices behind them is meaningless.
Because it is the outcome most people avoid. Bettors back a team; the draw is what you are left with when you have no side to cheer for. That reluctance shows up in the prices, and it shows up most in leagues nobody writes about.
Doing one market also makes the record honest: there is nowhere to hide a bad run behind a different strategy having a good month.
We are not trying to predict draws better than the market. A pick goes up when the price we can take sits above the market consensus for that same draw, and the model finds no reason for the gap. Each pick shows that premium — the edge is in the price, not the prediction. The full version is on the methodology page.
Then the edge may not be there. The odds published are the ones actually taken at the time of posting, and prices move. If your bookmaker is materially shorter, that pick is not the same bet.
Because that is where prices are loosest. In the Premier League thousands of people are correcting the odds every minute. In a second division on another continent, far fewer are — and the price stays wrong for longer.
A faithful replay of every published pick starting from €1,000.00, using the same staking ladder we use ourselves: 2.5% of the bankroll per pick, adjusted weekly. It is not a claim about anyone's actual account — it is what the published picks would have done, calculated the same way every day.
No. Losing runs are part of it — betting draws at these prices means being wrong more often than being right, and stretches of consecutive losses are normal, not a sign something broke. Judge it over months, not days, and never stake money you need.
It costs nothing. There is no paid tier, no VIP group, no subscription and nothing to buy. If that ever changes, the free record stays free and public.
No. This is a public record of what one model does with one market. It is not advice, and nothing here accounts for your situation. Betting loses money for most people who do it.