How often does the Croatia HNL end level?

Name: Croatia HNL draw rate
Creator: Just Draws

31.8% of matches — 156 draws in 491 matches played between 2018 and 2026. That makes it the 11th most draw-heavy of the 12 competitions we track. The market priced the draw at @3.39 on average across those matches.

Matches4912018–2026

Draws156

Draw rate31.8%

Average price of the draw@3.39

Break-even rate at that price29.5%

Difference+2.3 ptsabove break-even

What these numbers are, and are not

The draw rate counts the matches in this competition that met our price filter — the ones we would have picked — and not every match played. Across all 12 competitions the filtered rate is 35.4%, over 7,858 matches.
Break-even rate is what the average price implies: the share of matches that would have to end level for a bet at that price to come out flat. The difference between the two is the only number here that decides anything.
Sample: matches from 2018 to 2026 for which we hold odds from at least two bookmakers besides our own. Seasons are unevenly covered. None of this predicts a particular match.

Leagues with a similar draw rate

Regionalliga WestGermany30.4%Italy Serie BItaly33.6%Ecuador Serie BEcuador33.8%Ethiopian Premier LeagueEthiopia35.9%

All 12 competitions, side by side

We bet the draw in this competition

Every pick published before kick-off with the odds taken, and settled in public afterwards — winners and losers.

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