How often does the Ethiopia Premier League end level?

Name: Ethiopia Premier League draw rate
Creator: Just Draws

34.0% of matches — 478 draws in 1,405 matches played between 2017 and 2026. That makes it the 5th most draw-heavy of the 63 competitions we track. Matches here average 2.10 goals, and both teams score in 43.3% of them.

Matches1,4052017–2026

Draws478

Draw rate34.0%

Home wins34.0%

Away wins32.0%

Goals per match2.10

Both teams score43.3%

Under 2.5 goals64.2%

Under 1.5 goals40.9%

Average price of the draw@2.87

Break-even rate at that price34.8%

Difference-0.8 pts

Season by season

Season	Matches	Draw rate	Goals/match
2018	67	32.8%	1.99
2019	89	30.3%	2.43
2020	66	16.7%	2.71
2021	166	31.9%	2.18
2022	217	33.2%	2.26
2023	150	30.7%	2.36
2024	182	33.0%	2.07
2025	164	32.9%	1.85
2026	283	42.0%	1.77

Seasons with fewer than 30 matches on record are left out.

What these numbers are, and are not

These are every match played in the competition, not a selection. Across all 63 competitions the rate is 28.1%, over 43,805 matches.
Break-even rate is what the average price implies: the share of matches that would have to end level for a bet at that price to come out flat. The difference between the two is the only number here that decides anything. It is shown only for the competitions we bet ourselves.
Sample: matches from 2017 to 2026 for which we hold odds from at least two bookmakers besides our own. Seasons are unevenly covered. None of this predicts a particular match.

Leagues with a similar draw rate

Primera BArgentina33.8%Primera CArgentina34.2%Primera B MetropolitanaArgentina33.7%Egypt Premier LeagueEgypt33.6%

All 63 competitions, side by side

We bet the draw in this competition

Every pick published before kick-off with the odds taken, and settled in public afterwards — winners and losers.

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