How often do matches end level?

Name: Football draw rates by league
Creator: Just Draws
License: https://justdraws.net/draw-rates

Every match played in 64 competitions — 45,220 of them — and how often they end level, how many goals they carry, and how often both teams score. Most of these competitions have no English-language coverage at all, so the numbers below are hard to find anywhere else.

League	Country	Matches	Draws	Draw rate	Goals/match	Both score	Under 2.5
Serie B	Italy	2,658	852	32.1%	2.49	53.3%	54.9%
Eredivisie	Netherlands	2,085	487	23.4%	3.14	56.2%	39.1%
Azadegan League	Iran	1,862	621	33.4%	1.94	38.1%	67.3%
Eerste Divisie	Netherlands	1,736	387	22.3%	3.12	57.8%	39.1%
Premier League	Egypt	1,690	567	33.6%	2.36	49.1%	57.3%
Botola Pro	Morocco	1,640	538	32.8%	2.22	49.5%	60.6%
Persian Gulf Pro League	Iran	1,594	575	36.1%	1.98	41.0%	68.5%
K League 2	South Korea	1,447	425	29.4%	2.53	52.9%	53.4%
Premier League	Ethiopia	1,405	478	34.0%	2.10	43.3%	64.2%
Premier League	Kazakhstan	1,211	300	24.8%	2.48	48.2%	54.6%
Premier Division	Ireland	1,159	296	25.5%	2.52	48.0%	52.3%
Super League	Uzbekistan	1,149	321	27.9%	2.37	46.3%	56.7%
1. Lig	Turkey	1,091	264	24.2%	2.65	47.6%	51.4%
Ligue 1	Tunisia	1,023	293	28.6%	2.04	37.7%	65.8%
J2 League	Japan	974	268	27.5%	2.48	49.8%	54.2%
Division Intermedia	Paraguay	964	279	28.9%	2.41	47.8%	56.5%
Liga II	Romania	934	211	22.6%	2.76	48.8%	48.7%
Liga Portugal 2	Portugal	924	261	28.2%	2.50	53.2%	54.0%
Tweede Divisie	Netherlands	894	186	20.8%	3.22	60.0%	37.5%
J3 League	Japan	864	226	26.2%	2.56	54.2%	53.1%
Botola 2	Morocco	853	314	36.8%	2.09	47.6%	64.6%
Stars League	Iraq	827	244	29.5%	2.33	46.8%	59.0%
National League North	England	760	169	22.2%	2.86	54.7%	45.7%
Ligue 1	Algeria	731	202	27.6%	2.20	44.6%	60.1%
Serie B	Brazil	722	200	27.7%	2.14	42.7%	63.2%
I Liga	Poland	712	193	27.1%	2.83	58.7%	43.5%
II Liga	Poland	709	187	26.4%	2.81	57.0%	46.5%
Division 1 Sodra	Sweden	666	164	24.6%	2.85	53.8%	43.5%
Primera B Metropolitana	Argentina	653	220	33.7%	2.06	42.4%	66.5%
Regionalliga East	Austria	593	160	27.0%	3.10	56.3%	40.8%
Second Division	Egypt	552	198	35.9%	1.95	41.8%	67.4%
Challenger Pro League	Belgium	546	130	23.8%	2.77	54.8%	45.1%
2. Liga	Austria	538	128	23.8%	2.94	56.7%	42.6%
Serie D	Brazil	496	163	32.9%	2.28	49.2%	61.9%
Division Profesional	Bolivia	482	104	21.6%	3.08	55.4%	42.3%
Superettan	Sweden	475	128	26.9%	2.85	58.1%	42.9%
Challenge League	Switzerland	424	114	26.9%	2.94	57.5%	41.7%
1. deild	Iceland	385	89	23.1%	3.49	66.5%	32.7%
Segunda Division	Uruguay	347	99	28.5%	2.22	43.8%	64.0%
Primera B	Argentina	343	116	33.8%	1.97	42.3%	68.2%
Primera C	Argentina	336	115	34.2%	1.96	37.8%	69.6%
Europa League	Europe	333	70	21.0%	2.89	52.9%	43.8%
Conference League	Europe	313	63	20.1%	2.94	52.4%	43.5%
Liga Profesional	Argentina	312	92	29.5%	2.07	38.8%	66.0%
Pro League	Jordan	310	69	22.3%	2.64	46.5%	51.9%
Ykkosliiga	Finland	279	69	24.7%	2.97	57.7%	41.9%
Champions League	Europe	252	44	17.5%	2.97	50.4%	46.0%
Regionalliga West	Austria	248	35	14.1%	3.28	52.8%	39.9%
Regionalliga Central	Austria	244	48	19.7%	3.29	56.6%	35.2%
Mocambola	Mozambique	233	67	28.8%	2.27	41.6%	55.8%
USL Championship	United States	226	52	23.0%	2.65	49.1%	53.1%
Ykkonen	Finland	217	53	24.4%	3.12	55.3%	41.5%
NB II	Hungary	205	55	26.8%	2.49	48.3%	56.6%
Liga Pro	Ecuador	172	46	26.7%	2.24	47.7%	59.9%
Serie C	Brazil	158	46	29.1%	2.30	48.7%	56.3%
Liga 1	Peru	156	44	28.2%	2.62	51.9%	53.2%
K League 1	South Korea	136	39	28.7%	2.28	48.5%	58.8%
Liga Nacional	Honduras	120	40	33.3%	2.38	46.7%	55.8%
Primera Division	Chile	118	22	18.6%	3.06	60.2%	38.1%
Football League	Greece	106	30	28.3%	2.16	34.9%	64.2%
Kakkonen	Finland	80	19	23.8%	3.85	70.0%	27.5%
Liga MX	Mexico	67	16	23.9%	2.81	58.2%	46.3%
Liga de Ascenso	Costa Rica	66	15	22.7%	3.06	57.6%	42.4%
Premiership	South Africa	1,415	452	31.9%	2.04	42.6%	66.7%

How to read this

Draw rate is how often the match finished level, counted over every match played in the competition — not a selection. It is a record of what happened, not a prediction of anything.
Goals/match is the average total goals, Both score the share where each side scored at least once, and Under 2.5 the share that finished with two goals or fewer.
We bet a handful of these ourselves. On those competitions' own pages you will also find the price of the draw and what it implies — the numbers that decide whether a bet is worth making. They are left off the ones we do not bet, where a price comparison would only be showing the bookmaker's margin.
Sample: 2018–2026, matches for which we hold odds from at least two bookmakers besides our own. Seasons are unevenly covered, and this is not every match ever played in these competitions.
The full table is on GitHub as CSV and JSON, under CC BY: justdraws13-design/football-draw-rates. Corrections and additional leagues are welcome there.

We bet the draw in some of these leagues

Every pick published before kick-off with the odds taken, and settled in public afterwards — winners and losers.

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